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Ping An Securities: It is estimated that the overall net profit growth rate of listed banks will be 1% in 2025. Ping An Securities released the annual strategy report of the banking industry in 2025, saying that looking forward to 2025, the insufficient effective demand and the continuous pressure on asset-side pricing level are still important factors restricting the upward flexibility of bank profits. On the one hand, the inhibitory effect of insufficient effective demand on scale growth still exists, and it is estimated that the scale of new credit will be 17.9 trillion to 19.2 trillion yuan in 2025, corresponding to the year-end growth rate of 7.0%-7. On the other hand, the level of interest margin is also subject to the downward trend of asset-side pricing level, and factors such as LPR reduction, stock mortgage adjustment and implicit bond swap will continue to impact asset-side pricing. However, considering the acceleration of the reduction of deposit listing interest rate, the improvement of deposit repricing progress, and the supervision of manual interest payment and interbank liabilities, it is expected that the decline of interest margin will be slightly narrowed in 2025. In terms of asset quality, it is expected to remain stable, the policy will continue to exert its efforts to bottom out risks, the core indicators are expected to remain stable, and the provision is expected to continue to feed back the profit level. On the whole, it is estimated that the overall net profit growth rate of listed banks will be 1.0% in 2025. The idea of stock selection is "high dividend+pro-cyclical", and policy combination boxing promotes the repair of plate valuation.The Philippines' current account deficit in the third quarter was $5.7 billion.Outlook of Consumer Industry of Minyin Securities in 2025: The expansion of domestic demand grasps the opportunity of differentiation and change. Minyin Securities released a report on the outlook of consumer industry in 2025, saying that consumer demand is generally weak in 2024, and price factors also restrict growth. Looking forward to China's consumer industry in 2025: (1) Consumption plays a leading role and expanding domestic demand is in a more priority position. The variety and scale of trade-in of consumer goods are expected to continue to expand, and local governments will also introduce new policies to promote consumption in light of local conditions. (2) Rational consumption is more differentiated, and consumers pay for quality-price ratio and spiritual experience. The performance of Tou International Consumer Goods Company in China is also characterized by differentiation. Most of them recognize the long-term value of the China market. Despite short-term challenges, they plan to focus on strengthening localization and continue to invest in the China market. (3) When Trump comes to power, consumption will face greater challenges, and it will require higher global supply chain integration ability, diversified layout and localization ability. It is suggested to grasp the main line of domestic demand expansion, including dairy products with expected improvement at the bottom, outdoor sectors with high prosperity and tidal play sectors. If the demand recovers as scheduled, the catering/sports shoes and clothing/chain retail industry in a period of change will be flexible. In terms of export chain, it is necessary to observe whether the risk of trade friction is fully priced. In the medium term, the overseas market is vast, and the key to success is the added value and bargaining power of products, the matching degree between overseas demand and overseas supply chain, and the global diversified layout.

Joy City's daily limit The fourth Joy City in Beijing is about to open, and Joy City (000031.SZ) has raised its daily limit to a new high price in 4 yuan for 15 months, with a total market value of 17.1 billion yuan. According to the news, Haidian Joy City, the fourth Joy City in Beijing, will open on December 21st. At present, the second installation of many brands has come to an end, and the merchants in the venue have entered intensive preparations for opening.Market news: Russian troops advance to strategic cities in eastern Ukraine.Market news: Russian troops advance to strategic cities in eastern Ukraine.

The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 1.5 trillion for the 11th consecutive trading day, nearly 70 billion more than yesterday.New Beiyang (Thailand) Company opened. According to the news of New Beiyang, on December 12th, the launching ceremony of New Beiyang (Thailand) Company was held in chonburi province, Thailand. This was the first factory established by New Beiyang overseas, which marked another major breakthrough in the company's internationalization strategy and laid a solid foundation for the company's future internationalization development. The park leased by New Beiyang (Thailand) Company covers an area of more than 5,500 square meters in the first phase. At present, the special printing and scanning product line built in the factory has been successfully put into production and is ready to start mass delivery. In the future, the company will continue to expand the production and delivery of some smart equipment products in Thai factories.German authorities predict that the German economy will stagnate in 2025. On the 12th, local time, Kiel Institute for World Economics, one of the authoritative German economic research institutes, released a winter forecast, predicting that the German GDP will stagnate in 2025, neither increasing nor decreasing, which is 0.5% lower than the previous autumn forecast. Germany's GDP will shrink by 0.2% in 2024, compared with the previous autumn forecast of 0.1%. The agency believes that Germany's potential signs of weak economic growth are emerging, not only facing the foreseeable impact of the US tariff increase, but also the domestic industrial crisis is intensifying. (CCTV Finance)